Monday, July 1, 2013

Lies, Darn Lies and Weather Forecasts


Lies, Darn Lies and Weather Forecasts   ...   Monday 1st July 2013

Mike carefully checked the weather forecast before we set out this morning.  The prediction was for thunderstorms after 2pm.  We thought we should set off fairly early to ensure being tucked up in Oyster Bay before these storms arrived.  At nine o’clock we were underway.  The skies to the west looked ominously dark.  Once out of Manhasset Bay we set the staysail and were moving along nicely, doing about 5 kts.  The wind continued to build.  The weather overlay on the GPS/chart-plotter showed lots of thunderstorm activity to the west.  The wind intensified.  Then the rain came down in torrents.  The visibility declined, especially for those of us who wear glasses.  At one point we were doing 8 kts with the main and tiny foresail on a beam reach.  We put a reef in the mainsail and carried on.  The first set of storms passed over. 
By the time we were turning into Cold Spring Harbor Bay, the skies were black again. We anchored at the south of Oyster Bay.  As Mike put it: If we’d waited and sailed in the afternoon we might have avoided getting wet at all.  The forecast predicted the storms but as for the timing---hmm.

Gloria

Position: 40 52.893 N 73 30.772 W

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